{"id":2272,"date":"2019-01-16T12:40:56","date_gmt":"2019-01-16T12:40:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/?p=2272"},"modified":"2019-01-16T12:40:56","modified_gmt":"2019-01-16T12:40:56","slug":"fighting-mass-extinction-in-the-heat-age","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/?p=2272","title":{"rendered":"Fighting Mass Extinction in the Heat Age"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2273\" src=\"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/Insect-extinction-Carrington-Jan-15-1-19.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"262\" srcset=\"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/Insect-extinction-Carrington-Jan-15-1-19.jpg 640w, https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/Insect-extinction-Carrington-Jan-15-1-19-300x123.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>What do you do about a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2019\/jan\/15\/insect-collapse-we-are-destroying-our-life-support-systems\">mass extinction<\/a> if you are an environmental campaigner, conservation group like WWF, or a politician, or a concerned human being?\u00a0 I&#8217;m not talking about a warning or a threat but an outcome: it&#8217;s happening, indeed some of it has already happened.<\/p>\n<p>We are living in the foothills of a new Heat Age and its wiping out the nature we rely on, as David Attenborough warned at the UN Climate Conference in Poland in December.\u00a0 The cause is climate change.\u00a0 In the early days of the industrial revolution they took canaries down coal mines and if they died, it was time to stop digging.\u00a0 Now we&#8217;ve taken entire ecosystems &#8216;into the coalmine&#8217; and thousands, probably millions of species are dying but we&#8217;re still digging.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8216;98% Of Ground Insects Are Gone&#8217;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yesterday Britain&#8217;s <em>Guardian<\/em> newspaper environment editor <a class=\"tone-colour\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/damiancarrington\" rel=\"author\" data-link-name=\"auto tag link\">Damian Carrington<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2019\/jan\/15\/insect-collapse-we-are-destroying-our-life-support-systems\">reported<\/a> on a mass disappearance of insects from ancient and ecologically rich rainforest in Puerto Rico. \u00a0 Scientist Brad Lister returned to the\u00a0Luquillo rainforest &#8216;after 35 years to find 98% of ground insects had vanished&#8217;.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s an extract:<\/p>\n<div class=\"content__article-body from-content-api js-article__body\" data-test-id=\"article-review-body\">\n<p><em>\u201cWe knew that something was amiss in the first couple days,\u201d said Brad Lister. \u201cWe were driving into the forest and at the same time both Andres and I said: \u2018Where are all the birds?\u2019 There was nothing.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>&#8216;The insect population that once provided plentiful food for birds throughout the mountainous national park had collapsed. On the ground, 98% had gone. Up in the leafy canopy, 80% had vanished. The most likely culprit by far is global warming&#8217;.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cIt was just astonishing,\u201d Lister said. \u201cBefore, both the sticky ground plates and canopy plates would be covered with insects. You\u2019d be there for hours picking them off the plates at night. But now the plates would come down after 12 hours in the tropical forest with a couple of lonely insects trapped or none at all.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cIt was a true collapse of the insect populations in that rainforest,\u201d he said. \u201cWe began to realise this is terrible \u2013 a very, very disturbing result.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Carrington continued: &#8216;Earth\u2019s bugs <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2018\/may\/21\/human-race-just-001-of-all-life-but-has-destroyed-over-80-of-wild-mammals-study\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">outweigh humans 17 times over<\/a> and are such a fundamental foundation of the food chain that scientists say a crash in insect numbers risks \u201c<a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2017\/oct\/18\/warning-of-ecological-armageddon-after-dramatic-plunge-in-insect-numbers\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">ecological Armageddon<\/a>\u201d. When Lister\u2019s <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/115\/44\/E10397\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">study was published in October<\/a>, one expert called the findings \u201chyper-alarming\u201d.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>He points out that similar changes have been found in German nature reserves and the &#8216;virtual <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1111\/j.1472-4642.2009.00578.x\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">disappearance of birds in an Australian eucalyptus forest<\/a> was blamed on a lack of insects caused by drought and heat&#8217;, while &#8216;Lister and his colleague Andr\u00e9s Garc\u00eda also found that insect numbers in a dry forest in Mexico had fallen 80% since the 1980s&#8217;.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"dfp-ad--inline2\" class=\"js-ad-slot ad-slot ad-slot--inline ad-slot--offset-right ad-slot--inline2\" data-link-name=\"ad slot inline2\" data-name=\"inline2\" aria-hidden=\"true\" data-mobile=\"1,1|2,2|300,250|300,274|fluid\" data-desktop=\"1,1|2,2|300,250|620,1|620,350|300,274|fluid|300,600\"><\/div>\n<p>\u201cWe are essentially destroying the very life support systems that allow us to sustain our existence on the planet, along with all the other life on the planet,\u201d said Lister.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Brextinction<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Carrington&#8217;s report is hard to find in <em>The Guardian<\/em>.\u00a0 It&#8217;s buried in an obscure &#8216;environment&#8217; section.\u00a0 The top 10 most read stories all focus on Brexit. The &#8216;paper uses &#8216;Brextinction&#8217; to sum up the implications of an historic Parliamentary vote over &#8216;Brexit&#8217;, and the focus of the press and political classes. One says &#8216;May&#8217;s deal is as dead as a dodo&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2274\" src=\"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/Brextinction.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"439\" srcset=\"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/Brextinction.jpg 640w, https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/Brextinction-300x206.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s logical to say that <a class=\"twitter-hashtag pretty-link js-nav\" dir=\"ltr\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/ExtinctionRebellion?src=hash\" data-query-source=\"hashtag_click\"><s>#<\/s><b>ExtinctionRebellion<\/b><\/a> are right and there are more important things to focus on than Brexit.\u00a0 But that doesn&#8217;t necessarily help bring about the right changes to limit or maybe one day start to reverse the mass extinction.\u00a0 Because for that we need the attention of politicians, and for that we need public understanding.\u00a0 Calling an emergency only has a useful effect if it&#8217;s understood.\u00a0 Otherwise you look like <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Henny_Penny\">Chicken Little<\/a>.\u00a0 Established NGOs should work to explain and support what activists like Extinction Rebellion are doing.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Emergency Action Is Possible<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Carrington is spoilt for choice in news from the apocalypse front. \u00a0 Also yesterday he wrote an article headed &#8216;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2019\/jan\/15\/immediate-fossil-fuel-phaseout-could-arrest-climate-change-study\">Immediate fossil fuel phaseout could arrest climate change &#8211; study<\/a>&#8216;.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2275\" src=\"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/phaseout-could-limit-warming-1.5-study-Gdn-15-1-19.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"475\" srcset=\"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/phaseout-could-limit-warming-1.5-study-Gdn-15-1-19.jpg 640w, https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/phaseout-could-limit-warming-1.5-study-Gdn-15-1-19-300x223.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The caption explains the story: technically we could quickly replace coal, oil and gas burning by greening our energy systems, and fast enough to stay inside the 1.5C &#8216;danger level&#8217;, although the current 1.0C additional heat is clearly already causing catastrophic change.<\/p>\n<p>Such action is not yet on the radar of most governments.\u00a0 It calls for what industrial system designers call an &#8217;emergency&#8217; or &#8216;crash&#8217; shutdown.\u00a0 In response to this, Nick Mabey, Director of E3G tweeted(@Mabeytweet) last night:<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8216;This is better news than the headline makes it sound. The lifetime of fossil fuel infrastructure is arbitrary &amp; retiring it early &amp; replacing with negative cost efficiency or low cost renewables would boost the economy. It\u2019s the politics we need to change&#8217;<\/em> .<\/p>\n<p>Carrington&#8217;s article is topped by a photo of wind turbines. \u00a0Ironically, I&#8217;ve spent the last month or so researching how onshore wind, Britain&#8217;s cheapest form of renewable energy, was stifled by a campaign driven by politicians such as <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Chris_Heaton-Harris\">Chris Heaton-Harris MP<\/a>, an arch-Brexiter who\u00a0to turned the government against wind by playing on the values-driven competition for votes between UKIP and the Conservatives, which also led to the vote for &#8216;Brexit&#8217;.\u00a0 He&#8217;s now a Minister in the &#8216;Department for Exiting the European Union&#8217;.\u00a0 Politics, pollution and mass extinction of insects, birds and everything that depends on nature, are all intertwined.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Triage and Refuge<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Conservation planners can&#8217;t cope directly with a mass extinction.\u00a0 Just a few species can be bred in captivity like canaries.\u00a0 Only a tiny minority can be saved in seed banks, zoos and by translocation to &#8216;parks&#8217; and reserves.\u00a0 But like emergency services arriving at a disaster scene, planners can try to apply triage.\u00a0 Don&#8217;t bother with those who will die anyway.\u00a0 Give second priority to those who may be suffering but will survive.\u00a0 Give first priority to those whose life is threatened but who you might save by intervening.<\/p>\n<p>In this case it may mean looking for &#8216;refugia&#8217;, places which may remain cool enough for some tropical ecosystems to survive more or less intact in the Heat Age, just as tropical forests &#8216;retreated&#8217; to relatively small warm and stable &#8216;refugia&#8217; in the Ice Age.\u00a0 But that also requires protecting them from clearance of land for farming, plantations or by logging: a tall order.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s the overall stability of tropical conditions which allowed them to evolve into intricate diverse ecosystems which hold most of the world&#8217;s diversity of life, and which may (and it seems, does) make them exquisitely vulnerable to that stability being disrupted.\u00a0 Certainly their species have far more exacting needs than most of those in temperate climes.\u00a0 The only way to save as much life as possible is to stop the causes of climate change.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What do you do about a mass extinction if you are an environmental campaigner, conservation group like WWF, or a politician, or a concerned human being?\u00a0 I&#8217;m not talking about a warning or a threat but an outcome: it&#8217;s happening, &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/?p=2272\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2272"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2272\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2281,"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2272\/revisions\/2281"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/threeworlds.campaignstrategy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}